Mueller Water Products Stock Performance

MWA Stock  USD 30.32  0.17  0.56%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Mueller Water holds a performance score of 26. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 1.0, which conveys a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Mueller Water returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Mueller Water is expected to follow. Please check Mueller Water's jensen alpha, semi variance, day typical price, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and accumulation distribution , to make a quick decision on whether Mueller Water's current price movements will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Strong

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Mueller Water Products are ranked lower than 26 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat abnormal basic indicators, Mueller Water sustained solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
0.0664
Five Day Return
1.38
Year To Date Return
25.94
Ten Year Return
254.29
All Time Return
80
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0091
Payout Ratio
0.203
Forward Dividend Rate
0.27
Dividend Date
2026-02-20
Ex Dividend Date
2026-02-10
 
Mueller Water dividend paid on 20th of November 2025
11/20/2025
1
Disposition of 8568 shares by Marietta Zakas of Mueller Water at 24.24 subject to Rule 16b-3
11/28/2025
2
Disposition of 20620 shares by Marietta Zakas of Mueller Water subject to Rule 16b-3
12/02/2025
3
Disposition of 5023 shares by Marietta Zakas of Mueller Water at 24.62 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/03/2025
4
Disposition of 691 shares by Scott Floyd of Mueller Water at 24.24 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/12/2025
5
Disposition of 1478 shares by Paul McAndrew of Mueller Water at 24.62 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/19/2025
6
Analysts Have Conflicting Sentiments on These Industrial Goods Companies Astronics and Mueller Water Products - The Globe and Mail
01/06/2026
7
Mueller Water Products, Inc. Passed Our Checks, And Its About To Pay A US0.07 Dividend
02/05/2026
8
Mueller Water Products Will Pay A Dividend Of 0.07
02/06/2026
9
Mueller Water Products Trying To Close In On Key Technical Benchmark
02/09/2026
10
Watts Water Technologies To Report Earnings Tomorrow Here Is What To Expect
02/10/2026
11
5 Must-Read Analyst Questions From Mueller Water Productss Q4 Earnings Call
02/11/2026
12
Is Kawasaki Heavy Industries Outperforming Other Industrial Products Stocks This Year
02/13/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow309.9 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-47.1 M

Mueller Water Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  2,324  in Mueller Water Products on November 20, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  691.00  from holding Mueller Water Products or generate 29.73% return on investment over 90 days. Mueller Water Products is generating 0.4512% of daily returns assuming volatility of 1.3641% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 12% of stocks are less volatile than Mueller, and above 91% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Mueller Water is expected to generate 1.8 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.8 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.33 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.18 per unit of risk.

Mueller Water Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Mueller Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 30.32 90 days 30.32 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Mueller Water to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Mueller Water Products probability density function shows the probability of Mueller Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Mueller Water has a beta of 1.0. This indicates Mueller Water Products market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Mueller Water is expected to follow. Additionally Mueller Water Products has an alpha of 0.3477, implying that it can generate a 0.35 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Mueller Water Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Mueller Water

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mueller Water Products. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Mueller Water's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
29.6531.0132.37
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
27.1432.0433.40
Details
6 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
27.6030.3333.67
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.360.370.38
Details

Mueller Water Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Mueller Water is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Mueller Water's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Mueller Water Products, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Mueller Water within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.35
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.00
σ
Overall volatility
1.93
Ir
Information ratio 0.26

Mueller Water Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Mueller Water for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Mueller Water Products can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Mueller Water has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Is Kawasaki Heavy Industries Outperforming Other Industrial Products Stocks This Year

Mueller Water Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Mueller Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Mueller Water's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Mueller Water's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding157.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments431.5 M

Mueller Water Fundamentals Growth

Mueller Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Mueller Water, and Mueller Water fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Mueller Stock performance.

About Mueller Water Performance

By analyzing Mueller Water's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Mueller Water's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Mueller Water has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Mueller Water has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 118.27  84.64 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.12  0.13 
Return On Capital Employed 0.15  0.16 
Return On Assets 0.09  0.10 
Return On Equity 0.20  0.18 

Things to note about Mueller Water Products performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Mueller Water for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Mueller Water Products help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Mueller Water has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Is Kawasaki Heavy Industries Outperforming Other Industrial Products Stocks This Year
Evaluating Mueller Water's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Mueller Water's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Mueller Water's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Mueller Water's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Mueller Water's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Mueller Water's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Mueller Water's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Mueller Water's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Mueller Water's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Mueller Water's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Mueller Water's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Mueller Stock analysis

When running Mueller Water's price analysis, check to measure Mueller Water's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mueller Water is operating at the current time. Most of Mueller Water's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mueller Water's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mueller Water's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mueller Water to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Portfolio Analyzer
Portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine
Equity Forecasting
Use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum